For PSG v Aston Villa on Wednesday, the 4/5 shown on Oddschecker today asks for roughly a 56% break-even rate on PSG winning inside 90 minutes, not simply lifting the trophy. UEFA says a draw after 90 goes straight to penalties, so that 90-minute bet is a loser even if PSG then win the shootout, and I would record it that way rather than turning a correct trophy prediction into a winning bet after the fact. What probability do you give PSG of winning in normal time at that quoted price? https://www.oddschecker.com/football/uefa-super-cup https://www.uefa.com/uefasupercup/news/02a4-2056c25ced6f-cc7862c2721f-1000--2026-uefa-super-cup-in-salzburg-all-you-need-to-know/